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Nick Chubb 2023 fantasy football outlook

2MAF38H Cleveland Browns running back Nick Chubb (24) plays against the New York Jets during the first half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Sept. 18, 2022, in Cleveland. (AP Photo/Ron Schwane)

• Chubb is unmatched as a runner: His efficiency has been unmatched throughout his NFL career, and he’s been able to sustain his high quality on large snap samples.

• More opportunities without Kareem Hunt: The Browns opted not to re-sign Hunt or D’Ernest Johnson, which could lead to more opportunities for Chubb, particularly in the passing game.

• Browns are becoming more run-first: Deshaun Watson being in the fold for a full season could take some of the focus off Chubb and put more attention on Watson.

Estimated reading time: 5 minutes


The fantasy football outlook series takes an in-depth look at a single player’s fantasy outlook for the 2023 season. Let's dive into running back Nick Chubb of the Cleveland Browns.

Fantasy Football Rankings

Dynasty | Dynasty Superflex | Dynasty Rookie
Dynasty Superflex Rookie | Best Ball

Last updated: 7:15 a.m. Monday, July 3

Player Outlook

Chubb is on a Hall-of-Fame path with how much he stands out as a rusher.

  • Chubb joins former Browns Marion Motley and Jim Brown, as well as Jamaal Charles, as running backs with a career yards-per-attempt figure of 5.2 or better.
  • He has 5.24 rushing yards and 0.755 fantasy points per attempt for his career, which ranks first out of 31 running backs with at least 940 rushing attempts over the past 10 seasons.
  • His rushing-yards-over-expected figure in his five-year career is the highest of any running back, and more than double the fourth-best runner.
  • That’s in part due to Chubb's big-play ability. He gains at least 10 yards on 16.6% of his runs and has hit at least 20 on 4.7% of his runs since 2021. Those are both the best among running backs with at least 290 attempts over the past two years.

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